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1.
According to the United Nations population projections, the population of the elderly is expected to roughly triple in China from 2000 to 2050, particularly when the generations who were born between the 1950s and 1970s move through the age structure, and also because people are living longer and fertility rates have fallen, population aging is expected to put pressure on government's fiscal balance through higher old-age security benefits and health-care expenditures. This work draws together the broad range of elements involved within a consistent framework, based on a computable dynamic general equilibrium model with an overlapping generation structure. Further analysis using model simulation illustrates that the alternative schemes for the benefit rate, retirement age and technological progress are likely to be beneficial, and that an obvious slow-down in the growth of living standards is likely to be avoided.  相似文献   
2.
Soil erosion associated with non-point source pollution is viewed as a process of land degradation in many terrestrial environments. Careful monitoring and assessment of land use variations with different temporal and spatial scales would reveal a fluctuating interface, punctuated by changes in rainfall and runoff, movement of people, perturbation from environmental disasters, and shifts in agricultural activities and cropping patterns. The use of multi-temporal remote sensing images in support of environmental modeling analysis in a geographic information system (GIS) environment leading to identification of a variety of long-term interactions between land, resources, and the built environment has been a highly promising approach in recent years. This paper started with a series of supervised land use classifications, using SPOT satellite imagery as a means, in the Kao-Ping River Basin, South Taiwan. Then, it was designed to differentiate the variations of eight land use patterns in the past decade, including orchard, farmland, sugarcane field, forest, grassland, barren, community, and water body. Final accuracy was confirmed based on interpretation of available aerial photographs and global positioning system (GPS) measurements. Finally, a numerical simulation model (General Watershed Loading Function, GWLF) was used to relate soil erosion to non-point source pollution impacts in the coupled land and river water systems. Research findings indicate that while the decadal increase in orchards poses a significant threat to water quality, the continual decrease in forested land exhibits a potential impact on water quality management. Non-point source pollution, contributing to part of the downstream water quality deterioration of the Kao-Ping River system in the last decade, has resulted in an irreversible impact on land integrity from a long-term perspective.  相似文献   
3.
日本国土开发利用及对我国的启示   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
日本在战后经历了经济高速增长,工业化和城市化快速推进的发展历程,其间土地利用在结构、规模、价格、集约利用等方面发生了巨大变动。本文全面分析了二战之后,日本在经济高速增长、产业结构巨大变动、城市化迅速推进的发展过程中.农业用地、工业用地和城市用地在结构、规模、价格、集约利用程度等方面的特征;日本政府针对经济发展和土地利用的变动和影响。制订的一系列规划调整措施和政策法规体系。通过以上分析,探讨日本在有限的土地资源条件下实现经济高速增长的原因、途径和措施,以及对我国的启示。  相似文献   
4.
Multiple Antibiotic Resistance (MAR) analysis and regression modeling techniques were used to identify surface water areas impacted by fecal pollution from human sources, and to determine the effects of land use on fecal pollution in Murrells Inlet, a small, urbanized, high-salinity estuary located between Myrtle Beach and Georgetown, South Carolina. MAR analysis was performed to identify areas in the estuary that are impacted by human-source fecal pollution. Additionally, regression analysis was performed to determine if an association exists between land use and fecal coliform densities over the ten-year period from 1989 to 1998. Land-use variables were derived using Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques and were used in the regression analysis.MAR analyses were conducted by comparing the frequency and patterns of antibiotic resistance found in Escherichia coli isolates derived from surface water samples and from sewage sources in the Murrells Inlet sewage collection system. The MAR results suggest that the majority of the fecal pollution detected in the Murrells Inlet estuary may be from non-human sources, including fecal coliforms isolated from areas in close proximity to high densities of active septic tanks.A MAR Index, which measures the frequency of antibiotic resistance, was calculated for each of twenty-three water samples and nine sewage samples. The antibiotic resistance pattern comparisons were performed using cluster analysis. Although the MAR indices indicated that several surface water sites had potential human-source contamination, the cluster analysis suggests that only one sampling site had MAR patterns that were similar to those found in the sewage samples. This site was in close proximity to several large pleasure boats as well as a sewage collection system lift station, but was not near areas with active septic tanks. The results of the regression analysis also suggest that sewage sources and rainfall runoff from urbanized areas may contribute to fecal pollution in the estuary.  相似文献   
5.
以监测预报工作为导向推进数字化监测教学   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1  
地震预测的发展方向,是从协同的观点,多层面地统筹考虑地震监测体系的建设,实现基础研究与实际地震预测工作的结合.本文从如何利用原有监测资料、连续前兆监测数据处理系统的建立、前兆监测体系数据报送体系等地震监测工作环节,分析地震监测教学如何与监测工作方向相一致,并对教学改革如何结合台站技术人员更新提出了几点看法.  相似文献   
6.
以上海市为例,介绍了地面沉降的危害以及现有的防治对策,同时提出了污水经处理后回用于防治地面沉降的新思想,主要包括两种方法:①将处理后的污水回灌地下补给地下水;②用处理后的污水回用代替部分自来水,减少地下水的开采量,以控制地面沉降。  相似文献   
7.
克拉玛依市水,土资源承载力与城市发展对策研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
在城市可持续发展的进程中,克拉玛依已具备了许多有利条件,但同时也存在一些限制性2。文章重点研究了克拉玛依水、土地资源的承载力与城市发展的关系,从水资源供需平衡,水资源承载力与城市发展规模控制、土地资源人口承载力、工业用地规模、居住用地规模、绿化用地规模和环境管理等方面提出了对策。  相似文献   
8.
为了判明大连市东部地区景观空间结构随开发过程所发生的定量变化,根据景观生态学的原理,选择大连市东部代表地区庄河市1988年和2002年的资料进行分析比较,对庄河市区域景观空间格局的动态变化进行了分析,定量分析其土地利用、覆盖等,对在土地开发利用、保护、治理、开发建设及布局、土地管理、发展旅游等方面具有指导意义。  相似文献   
9.
杨丽芳  张志凌  徐晓军 《环境工程》2006,24(5):38-41,44
介绍楚雄德胜钢铁公司19·6m2烧结机尾除尘系统改造工程中使用三电极电除尘器的工艺及有关设计技术问题,并根据使用效果进行分析总结。结果表明,在设计参数选择恰当的情况下,三电极电除尘器对烧结烟气有较好的除尘效果,这些经验和操作中存在的问题供烧结机尾除尘工程设计参考。  相似文献   
10.
通过对炼油厂油品罐区消防、安全设施进行分析和改进,消除其对罐区的危害;对油罐主体腐蚀及加热器泄漏进行深入分析并提出实用的改进措施;完善生产与安全双重控制系统,为油品罐区标准化改造创造条件。  相似文献   
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